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Cardano Strike Pool Operator (SPO) SSSEBI (@AV_Sebastian) has inflamed a debate by claiming that Cardano’s Ada could reach a double -digit territory this year. In a thread that started: “These are the ingredients for $ 10 $ ADA in 2025”, he mentioned five developments that he thinks will transform the eighth largest cryptocurrency from a $ 0.70 token into an active $ 10. Each of those “ingredients” now takes shape – and each comes with his own uncertainties.
#1 Cardano becomes the Defi layer of Bitcoin
At the Bitcoin 2025 conference in Las Vegas surprised Input Output (IO) people present by moving a live Bitcoin-ordinal over a new BitVM-based bridge to Cardano. Io called the demonstration ‘a preview of what is coming’, and added that the ‘Cardinal’ protocol strives for full integration, so that BTC holders can borrow, borrow and use in Cardano’s Extended-Utxo environment. By transplanting Bitcoin Liquidity to a programmable ledger without packed guardian, Cardano Positions themselves As a settlement layer for so-called BTCFI applications-a addressable market that nowadays surpasses $ 1 trillion in dormant value.
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#2 The Midnight “Glacier Drop” AirDrop
Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson told Consensus 2025 in Toronto that midnight, are privacy-oriented Sidechain, Will airdrop Both Night Governance tokens and Dust privacy tokens up to “about 37 million portfolios over eight large block chains” – with “Zero Allocation of ventricle capitalists.” “Every consensus is a new sign that says:” My thing is better, “he said.” We are going to give this away and let users decide. “The pure scale dwarfs recent airdrops and can sow tens of new ADA-compatible addresses as soon as the cross-chain-fee model from Midnight pushes back to the base chain.
#3 An American mentioned Cardano -Spot ETF
In February, Nyse Arca submitted to convert the Grayscale Cardano Trust into a place ETF. The Securities and Exchange Commission acknowledged the application on 24 February and started a 240-day clock that now runs until October 22, 2025. The first phase Deadline of 29 May was pushed until 15 July, after the pattern that preceded the January Bitcoin ETF approvals of January.
Grayscale has argued that Ada’s transparency and expansion mechanics make the “significantly resistant to manipulation”, which reflects the language that eventually convinced regulators on Bitcoin. An approval would give traditional investors a regulated leadership to make returns-IS that does not yet offer US crypto ETF.
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#4 ADA in the US Strategic Reserve
The Executive Order of March of President Donald Trump created a strategic Bitcoin reserve and a US Digital Asset Stockpile to seize crypto in federal matters. A subsequent truth social post surprised markets by calling “XRP, Solana and Cardano” for recording alongside Bitcoin and Ether; Ada jumped more than 70% Intraday.
Although the order achieves new purchases from Altcoins, Treasury accounting shows around $ 493 million in non-bitcoin-asset under hen, including already reserved. Co-founder Sergey Nazarov of Chainlink called the movement “a reputation boost, which signals the US. Digital assets regards as strategic.” Inclusion in a sovereign reserve, Ada legitizes for conservative allocators and can alleviate the path for futures and option lists.
#5 The Ouroboros Leios Upgrade
Hoskinson labels Leios “The keystone of the entire Ouroboros agenda … the fastest cryptocurrency on the planet.” In a live stream of May 1, he said that simulations show “tens of thousands of transactions per second” without sacrificing decentralization. The upgrade introduces parallel input, ranking and approval blocks, so that transit can be called as adoption requirements. If the integration of the main network lands in H2 2025, Leios would coincide with the launch of Midnight and see the ETF assessment window-one alignment bulls as catalytic.
ADA acts almost $ 0.70 today and implies a market capitalization of around $ 25 billion. A jump to $ 10 would push the appreciation to $ 350 billion, causing Ethereum’s 2024 peak.
Featured image made with dall.e, graph of tradingview.com